Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Growth Outlook: Key Drivers and Emerging Opportunities (2025-2034)
How large is the voluntary carbon credit market, and what is its growth trajectory?
The voluntary carbon credit market size has grown exponentially in recent
years. It will grow from $1.55 billion in 2024 to $1.89 billion in 2025 at a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.9%. The growth in the historic period
can be attributed to corporate social responsibility initiatives, early
regulatory frameworks, international climate agreements, investor pressure on
sustainability, and carbon pricing schemes.
The voluntary carbon credit market size is expected to see exponential growth
in the next few years. It will grow to $4.13 billion in 2029 at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.6%. The growth in the forecast period can be
attributed to stringent carbon neutrality targets, mandatory climate disclosure
regulations, growing consumer demand for green products, increasing corporate
net-zero commitments, and inclusion of carbon credits in investment portfolios.
Major trends in the forecast period include integration of carbon credits in
supply chains, increasing participation of developing economies, premium
pricing for high-quality carbon credits, partnerships with indigenous
communities, and automated carbon offset verification tools.
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What are the key forces behind the
voluntary carbon credit market's growth in recent years?
The growing demand for clean energy is expected to propel the growth of the
voluntary carbon credit market going forward. Clean energy is defined as energy
obtained from sources with a minimum environmental impact and emitting little
or no greenhouse gases. The demand for clean energy is due to environmental
protection, public health benefits, energy security and independence, and
regulatory and policy incentives. The rising demand for clean energy boosts
investment in renewables, generating carbon credits by cutting emissions. These
credits help businesses offset their footprint, strengthening the carbon market
and promoting green energy growth. For instance, in March 2024, according to
the Clean Power Annual Market Report published by the American Clean Power
Association, a US-based organization, the clean energy industry installed 33.8
gigawatts (GW) of new utility-scale clean energy projects in 2022, marking a
12.5% increase over the previous record set in 2021. Therefore, the growing
demand for clean energy is driving the growth of the voluntary carbon credit
market.
What are the major segments of the voluntary carbon credit market?
The voluntary carbon credit market covered in this report is segmented –
1) By Type: Forestry, Renewable Energy, Waste Disposal, Other Types
2) By Project Type: Removal Or Sequestration Projects, Avoidance Or Reduction
Projects
3) By Application: Industrial, Household Devices, Energy, Agriculture, Other
Applications
4) By End Use: Government Agencies, Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs),
Private Companies, Individuals
Subsegments:
1) By Forestry: Afforestation, Reforestation, Avoided Deforestation, Forest
Management
2) By Renewable Energy: Wind Energy Projects, Solar Energy Projects, Hydropower
Projects, Biomass Energy Projects, Geothermal Energy Projects
3) By Waste Disposal: Methane Capture From Landfills, Waste-To-Energy Projects,
Composting Projects, Recycling And Circular Economy Initiatives
4) By Other Types: Blue Coastal and Marine Ecosystem Restoration (Carbon), Soil
Carbon Sequestration, Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), Biochar Projects
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Which companies dominate the voluntary
carbon credit market?
Major companies operating in the voluntary carbon credit market are Ambipar
Group, Rubicon Carbon, South Pole, EKI Energy Services Ltd., The Carbon Trust,
3Degrees, Climate Impact Partners, Allcot Group, Green Mountain Energy, First
Climate, ClimeCo LLC, Aera Group, Forliance, ComBio Energia, BioCarbon
Partners, CarbonBetter, Atmosfair, NativeEnergy, NatureOffice GmbH, Carbon
Credit Capital LLC, Finite Carbon, GreenTrees LLC, Puro.earth, Tasman
Environmental Markets, TerraPass, CarbonClear, BURN
What major trends will shape the voluntary carbon credit market during the
forecast period?
Major companies operating in the voluntary carbon credit market are focusing on
developing advanced solutions such as digital carbon credit sourcing to
streamline carbon credit access, supporting companies' sustainability and
emissions reduction efforts. Digital carbon credit sourcing refers to using
online platforms and technologies to identify, purchase, and trade carbon
credits, streamlining access to certified carbon offset projects. For instance,
in September 2024, the ERM International Group Limited, a UK-based
sustainability consultancy, launched the ERM Carbon Credit Portal designed to
facilitate client access to the voluntary carbon market. This initiative aims
to streamline the selection and purchasing process for carbon credits, enabling
organizations to complement their greenhouse gas emissions reduction strategies
effectively. The portal features pre-screened projects that allow users to
evaluate climate benefits and associated risks, enhancing transparency and
trust in the carbon credit procurement process. This launch is part of ERM's
broader strategy to support corporate decarbonization efforts.
What are the key regional dynamics of the voluntary carbon credit market, and
which region leads in market share?
North America was the largest region in the voluntary carbon credit market in
2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast
period. The regions covered in the voluntary carbon credit market report are
Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America,
Middle East, Africa.
What Does The Voluntary Carbon Credit Market Report 2025 Offer?
The voluntary carbon credit market research report from The Business Research
Company offers global market size, growth rate, regional shares, competitor
analysis, detailed segments, trends, and opportunities.
A voluntary carbon credit is a tradable certificate that represents the
reduction, removal, or avoidance of one metric ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) or
its equivalent (CO2e) in greenhouse gases (GHGs). These credits are generated
by projects that reduce emissions, such as reforestation, renewable energy,
carbon capture, and energy efficiency initiatives. The voluntary carbon credits
are bought and sold in the voluntary carbon market (VCM) by businesses,
organizations, and individuals who aim to offset their carbon footprint beyond
regulatory requirements.
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